Poker Predictions for 2010 by Mike Sexton

2009 was an amazing poker year.  The first thing that jumps out at me is the continuing trend of young guys doing so well in live events.  The two biggest events of the year were won by 21 year-olds.  Yevgeniy Timoshenko captured the World Poker Tour (WPT) World Championship and Joe Cada won the World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event.  They were the youngest players to ever win those events.  By now, you must recognize that internet poker has developed a tremendous crux of terrific poker players and they continue to prove themselves in the biggest live events in the world.

I carried the torch for the old guys in 2009, the highlight being my induction into the Poker Hall of Fame on November 7th.  The Poker Hall of Fame is the one area in poker that old guys have a big edge.

I am happy to point out that two well-known, experienced, high-stakes players had the best WSOP in 2009.  Three bracelets and the best all-around player award went to Jeff Lisandro and poker superstar Phil Ivey won two bracelets and made the final table of the Main Event.  You have to salute both those guys.

A real buzz was created in 2009 by the nosebleed high-stakes games online.  It’s difficult to follow the swings these guys take, which amounted to millions of dollars per week.   These guys have moxy (a polite way of saying “balls”) that is hard to believe.

It’s always exciting to think about what’s ahead for the poker world.  Here are some things I believe will happen in 2010:

1. The young guys will continue to dominate the big events in poker.  I say that because the big events take at least four or five days to play and I believe the younger guys can handle those long, tough, consecutive sessions better than the older guys.  Generally speaking, when stamina plays a role in something, young guys fare better.

2. The direction of online poker will finally come out of the “gray area.”  I believe that legislation will finally come forth in some fashion, so we’ll know whether or not online poker will become regulated.  If it’s not on the federal level, I believe you’ll see individual states, starting with California, attempt to legislate and regulate online poker.

3. More countries around the world will individually regulate online poker like Italy and France are doing.  For those who may not know, those countries are legalizing online poker, but you can only play against players from your own country.  This is the model I believe that individual U.S. states will follow.

4. The WPT will expand its brand worldwide with more live tournaments in more countries around the world.  Party Gaming purchased the WPT, which bodes well for poker players around the world.  Players can qualify online for these events at PartyPoker.com and, hopefully, other sites as well.

5. The enforcement of Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act (UIGEA) will come to an end.

6. Here’s a good thing:  Far more money will be raised through poker charity events than has been in the past.  PokerGives.org is designating September “Poker Charity Month,” where numerous live casinos as well as online sites will hold charity events for PokerGives.org.  In my mind, benefiting worthwhile charities is a big plus for the entire poker industry and players, management, and casinos should all do more to support charity events.

7. Two players will win two bracelets at the 2010 WSOP and no one will win three.  I don’t know who they will be, but I know who I’d bet on to do it.

8. I’m afraid that the trend will continue for women on the WPT.  They won’t win a $10,000 buy-in or higher event in 2010.  There just aren’t enough aggressive women in poker to favor them winning a WPT event.  Incidentally, I hope I’m wrong about this prediction.  Go ladies!

9. Two people will be inducted into the Poker Hall of Fame in 2010.  The top candidates are Erik Seidel, Barry Greenstein, Phil Ivey, Daniel Negreanu, and Tom McEvoy.  Who do you like?

10. Championship poker events will continue to thrive and television will continue to play a major role in bringing more players into the poker world.

Best of luck to everyone in 2010!